AbstractObjectiveWe investigated the association between lactate clearance or serum lactate levels and neurologic outcomes or in-hospital mortality in cardiac arrest survivors who were treated with targeted temperature management (TTM).
MethodsA retrospective analysis of data from cardiac arrest survivors treated with TTM between 2012 and 2015 was conducted. Serum lactate levels were measured on admission and at 12, 24, and 48 hours following admission. Lactate clearance at 12, 24, and 48 hours was also calculated. The primary outcome was neurologic outcome at discharge. The secondary outcome was in-hospital mortality.
ResultsThe study included 282 patients; 184 (65.2%) were discharged with a poor neurologic outcome, and 62 (22.0%) died. Higher serum lactate levels at 12 hours (odds ratio [OR], 1.157; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.006 to 1.331), 24 hours (OR, 1.320; 95% CI, 1.084 to 1.607), and 48 hours (OR, 2.474; 95% CI, 1.459 to 4.195) after admission were associated with a poor neurologic outcome. Furthermore, a higher serum lactate level at 48 hours (OR, 1.459; 95% CI, 1.181 to 1.803) following admission was associated with in-hospital mortality. Lactate clearance was not associated with neurologic outcome or in-hospital mortality at any time point after adjusting for confounders.
INTRODUCTIONAdvances in post-cardiac arrest care involving targeted temperature management (TTM) and goal-directed therapy has improved clinical outcomes, and, thus, post-cardiac arrest care is recommended as a standard therapy in cardiac arrest survivors [1-6]. Although a target blood pressure has not been fully elucidated, post-resuscitation care includes hemodynamic goals to optimize tissue perfusion in addition to TTM [5,6]. Lactate is a metabolite from anaerobic glycolysis and is an indicator of inadequate tissue perfusion. Serum lactate has been used as a surrogate marker of mortality in patients with severe sepsis independent of organ failure [7]. Serum lactate has also been useful as a surrogate marker in cardiac arrest survivors during the TTM and non-TTM era [7-14]. Elevated serum lactate has been associated with increased mortality or a poor neurologic outcome [7-14]. Furthermore, lactate clearance from serial measurements of serum lactate was suggested as another surrogate marker in cardiac arrest survivors [11-13]. A decrease in lactate clearance has been associated with increased mortality or a poor neurologic outcome [11-13]. Therefore, serial measurements of serum lactate are recommended for hemodynamic management after the return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) in cardiac arrest survivors [6,15].
There are several studies in the literature exploring the association between serum lactate or lactate clearance and clinical outcome in cardiac arrest survivors [7-14]. Previous studies have analyzed serum lactate levels obtained 24 hours after admission but, have used a relatively small sample size [7,10-12]. We hypothesized that higher serum lactate levels and a lower lactate clearance rate during early post-resuscitation care are associated with increased in-hospital mortality or a poor neurologic outcome. We aimed to examine the difference in lactate clearance between neurologic outcome groups and in-hospital mortality groups. Furthermore, we evaluated the association between serum lactate levels on admission and 12, 24, and 48 hours after admission and neurologic status at discharge or in-hospital mortality.
METHODSStudy design and populationWe performed a retrospective observational cohort study including comatose cardiac arrest survivors treated with TTM at Chonnam National University Hospital, Gwangju, Korea between January 2012 and December 2015. This study was approved by the institutional review board of Chonnam National University Hospital.
Cardiac arrest survivors over 16 years-of-age who had completed TTM were included in the present study. Patients were excluded based on the following criteria: death during TTM; transfer during TTM; receipt of the TTM protocol with a different target temperature (<32°C or >34°C) or hypothermia duration (48 or 72 hours); extracorporeal membrane oxygenation applied during post-cardiac arrest care; and incomplete lactate data.
TTM protocolTTM was induced with ice packs, intravenous cold saline, and cooling devices including feedback-controlled endovascular catheters (COOLGARD3000 Thermal Regulation System, Alsius Corporation, Irvine, CA, USA) or surface cooling devices (Blanketrol II, Cincinnati Subzero Products, Cincinnati, OH, USA; Artic Sun Energy Transfer Pads, Medivance Corp., Louisville, KY, USA). Core temperature was monitored using an esophageal temperature probe. Remifentanil and midazolam were used for sedation and analgesia. During the 24-hour maintenance phase, a target temperature of 33±1°C was maintained. Upon completion of the maintenance phase, patients were rewarmed at a target rate of 0.25°C/hr. Advanced critical care such as oxygenation, ventilation, glucose control, and hemodynamic optimization were provided according to the guidelines. Serum lactate levels were obtained on admission and at 12, 24, and 48 hours after admission.
Data collection and outcomesThe following data were obtained for each patient: age, sex, comorbidities, first monitored rhythm, etiology of cardiac arrest, location of cardiac arrest (out-of-hospital or in-hospital), presence of a witness on collapse, bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation, downtime, Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score after ROSC, epinephrine dose used during the intra-arrest period, glucose levels after ROSC, initial temperature, pre-induction time, induction duration, rewarming duration, lactate levels (initial and at 12, 24, and 48 hours after admission), lactate clearance (at 12, 24, and 48 hours), vital status at hospital discharge (alive or dead), and neurologic outcome at discharge. The sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score within the first 24 hours after admission was used to assess the severity of multiple organ dysfunction [16]. Neurologic outcome was assessed using the Glasgow-Pittsburgh Cerebral Performance Category (CPC) at discharge and was recorded as CPC 1 (good performance), CPC 2 (moderate disability), CPC 3 (severe disability), CPC 4 (vegetative state), and CPC 5 (brain dead or death) [17]. Neurologic outcome was dichotomized as either good (CPC 1 and 2) or poor (CPC 3 to 5). The primary outcome was neurologic outcome at discharge. The secondary outcome was in-hospital mortality.
Data analysisContinuous variables are given as median values with interquartile ranges according to the results of the normality test. Mann-Whitney U-tests were conducted for comparisons of continuous variables. Categorical variables are presented as frequencies and percentages. Comparisons of categorical variables were performed using chi-square or Fisher exact tests, as appropriate. Logistic regression analysis was used to examine the association between serum lactate levels and neurologic outcome at discharge or in-hospital mortality, after adjusting for confounders. The significant variables in the univariate analyses were included in the multivariate logistic regression model. Backward selection was used to obtain the final model. The goodness-of-fit of the final model was evaluated using the Hosmer-Lemeshow test. A repeated-measures analysis of variance was conducted to assess lactate change over time. Post-hoc analysis at each time point was performed using the pairwise Mann-Whitney U-test with Bonferroni correction. Data were analyzed using PASW Statistics ver. 18 (SPSS Inc., Chicago, IL, USA). A two-sided significance level of 0.05 was used for statistical significance.
RESULTSPatient populationDuring the study period, 439 cardiac arrest survivors were treated with TTM. As summarized in Fig. 1, 38 were treated with extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, 35 died during TTM, 47 were treated with a different TTM protocol, 7 were transferred, and 30 had incomplete lactate data. Finally, 282 patients were included in this study (Fig. 1).
Baseline characteristics are shown in Table 1. The median age was 60.5 (interquartile range, 48.8 to 70.3) years, 100 patients (35.5%) had a shockable rhythm, 161 (57.1%) had a cardiac etiology, 229 (81.2%) experienced an out-of-hospital cardiac arrest, 207 (73.4%) were witnessed on collapse, 174 (61.7%) received bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation, and the median downtime was 27.0 (interquartile range, 15.0 to 37.0) minutes (Table 1). Poor neurologic outcome at discharge and in-hospital mortality were reported in 184 (65.2%) and 62 (28.2%) patients, respectively.
Clinical outcomes
Table 1 shows the baseline characteristics according to neurologic outcome and in-hospital mortality. Patients with a good neurologic outcome were younger, had a lower incidence of diabetes, were more likely to have a shockable rhythm and cardiac etiology, had a higher incidence of witnessed collapse, required less epinephrine, had a shorter downtime, and had a lower SOFA score, as compared with patients with a poor neurologic outcome.
Survivors were also younger, had a lower incidence of comorbidities (diabetes and renal disease), were more likely to have a shockable rhythm and cardiac etiology, were more likely to have had an out-of-hospital cardiac arrest, required less epinephrine, had a higher GCS score, and had a lower SOFA score, as compared with non-survivors.
Table 2 shows the parameters of TTM according to neurologic outcome and survival. Patients with a good neurologic outcome had a higher initial temperature, shorter pre-induction time, and a longer induction time than patients with a poor neurologic outcome. Survivors had a longer induction time than non-survivors, whereas other TTM characteristics were not different (Table 2).
Serum lactate levels and lactate clearanceSerum lactate levels differed between neurologic outcome groups and decreased over time (P<0.001) with no interaction between neurologic outcome and time (P=0.318) (Fig. 2). Post-hoc analysis showed that serum lactate levels differed between neurologic outcome groups at 12, 24, and 48 hours after admission (Fig. 2). Lactate clearance at all time points differed between the good and poor neurologic outcome groups (Fig. 3). Serum lactate levels also differed between survivors and non-survivors and decreased over time (P<0.001), with no interaction between in-hospital mortality and time (P=0.444) (Fig. 2). Post-hoc analysis showed that serum lactate levels at 48 hours after admission differed between survivors and non-survivors (Fig. 2). Lactate clearance at 48 hours after admission was different between survivors and non-survivors (Fig. 3).
Association between lactate levels or clearance and outcomesMultivariate analysis revealed that an older age, non-shockable rhythm, non-cardiac etiology, longer downtime, and a lower GCS score were associated with a poor neurologic outcome (Table 3). Serum lactate levels at various time points were separated into different multivariate models. Higher serum lactate levels at 12 hours (odds ratio [OR], 1.157; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.006 to 1.331), 24 hours (OR, 1.320; 95% CI, 1.084 to 1.607), and 48 hours (OR, 2.474; 95% CI, 1.459 to 4.195) after admission were associated with a poor neurologic outcome, whereas lactate level on admission (OR, 1.049; 95% CI, 0.962 to 1.143) was not associated with neurologic outcome (Table 3). Furthermore, lactate clearance was not associated with neurologic outcome at any time point (Fig. 4). Multivariate analysis revealed that a non-shockable rhythm and the SOFA score were associated with in-hospital mortality (Table 4). A higher lactate level at 48 hours (OR, 1.459; 95% CI, 1.181 to 1.803) after admission was associated with an increased in-hospital mortality, whereas the lactate level on admission (OR, 1.063; 95% CI, 0.981 to 1.152) and the lactate levels at 12 hours (OR, 1.031; 95% CI, 0.928 to 1.146) and 24 hours (OR, 1.024; 95% CI, 0.940 to 1.116) after admission were not associated with in-hospital mortality (Table 4). Additionally, lactate clearance was not associated with in-hospital mortality at any time point (Fig. 4).
DISCUSSIONIn this retrospective cohort of cardiac arrest survivors treated with TTM, we found that serum lactate levels at 12, 24, and 48 hours after admission were higher in patients with a poor neurologic outcome. Furthermore, serum lactate levels remained a surrogate marker even after adjusting for potential confounders. Lactate clearance at 12, 24, and 48 hours after admission was lower in patients with a poor neurologic outcome. However, lactate clearance was not a robust surrogate marker of neurologic outcome at any time point. A higher serum lactate level at 48 hours after admission was associated with increased in-hospital mortality. Lactate clearance at 48 hours after admission was lower in non-survivors; however, it did not remain a surrogate marker of in-hospital mortality following adjustment for confounders.
Previous studies have demonstrated the association between serum lactate levels and outcome in cardiac arrest survivors [7,9-14]. Shinozaki et al. [9] suggested that the serum lactate level was an independent predictor of neurologic outcome in cardiac arrest survivors. However, only 20.4% of the cohort in the study by Shinozaki et al. [9] was treated with therapeutic hypothermia. Induced systemic hypothermia decreased microcirculation and peripheral tissue perfusion without impairment of systemic blood flow in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest survivors [18]. Microvascular density and flow after cardiac arrest were influenced by body temperature, but not arterial pressure, cardiac output, or disease severity [19]. Lactic acidosis can develop as a result of microcirculatory impairment when the body temperature is lowered [20]. TTM has been used as a standard treatment for comatose cardiac arrest survivors [5,6]. All cardiac arrest survivors in our cohort were treated with TTM. Therefore, the association between serum lactate levels and outcomes in cohorts treated with TTM should be reevaluated. Starodub et al. [14] evaluated the use of the serum lactate level as a surrogate marker in a cohort of 199 cardiac arrest survivors treated with therapeutic hypothermia. They found that lower serum lactate levels at 12 and 24 hours, but not on admission, were associated with survival to discharge. Similarly, we found that the serum lactate levels at all time points up to 48 hours after admission, but not on admission, were robust prognostic indicators of neurologic outcome in our cohort. Lee et al. [11] reported that there was no difference in initial lactate levels between patients with good and poor neurologic outcomes. Donnino et al. [12] also demonstrated that the initial lactate level did not remain a surrogate maker of survival or neurologic outcome after adjusting for potential confounders in a cohort of 100 cardiac arrest survivors treated with TTM. The serum lactate level during post-resuscitation care is affected by multiple factors, including the post-cardiac arrest systemic inflammatory response, myocardial stunning, and secondary ischemic insults such as seizure, infection, and sepsis, whereas the initial serum lactate level depends predominantly on ischemic insult during downtime and hypoperfusion before collapse [21-24]. Therefore, the serum lactate level on admission cannot be a robust surrogate marker of survival or neurologic outcome in cardiac arrest survivors receiving post-resuscitation care. Notably, several earlier studies did not measure serum lactate levels beyond 24 hours after cardiac arrest [9,10,12,14]. Hence, they could not demonstrate the association between serum lactate levels beyond 24 hours after cardiac arrest and outcomes. However, we found an independent association between serum lactate levels at 48 hours and neurologic outcome or in-hospital mortality.
The serum lactate level significantly decreased over time in the present study. The change in serum lactate level is related to lactate clearance. Effective lactate clearance was reported as another surrogate marker in cardiac arrest survivors [10-13]. Donnino et al. [10] first demonstrated that a greater lactate clearance at 12 hours was associated with reduced mortality in a cohort of 79 cardiac arrest survivors who did not receive TTM. The association between lactate clearance and clinical outcome should be reevaluated considering the effect of temperature on serum lactate levels. Lee et al. [11] showed that a greater lactate clearance at 6 and 12 hours was a robust prognostic indicator of a good neurologic outcome in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest survivors treated with therapeutic hypothermia. Donnino et al. [12] demonstrated that a greater lactate clearance at 12 hours was associated with good neurologic outcome and survival in a cohort of cardiac arrest survivors treated with TTM, whereas the lactate clearance at 24 hours was not associated with outcomes. The serum lactate level precipitously decreased within 6 hours after admission and then decreased slowly, as reported by previous studies [10-14]. Therefore, the difference in early lactate clearance rather than late lactate clearance may be more prominent, and early lactate clearance may be a robust marker. In contrast to previous studies, we found that lactate clearance had no association with neurologic outcome or in-hospital mortality after adjusting for potential confounders. Lactate clearance increased over time in survivors and patients with a good neurologic outcome, whereas it plateaued at 30% to 40% in non-survivors and patients with a poor neurologic outcome in previous studies [10,12]. However, in the present study, lactate clearance increased over time in patients with a poor neurologic outcome and in non-survivors, which was similar to that for patients with a good neurologic outcome and survivors. This suggested that perfusion during post-resuscitation care was well managed even in patients with a poor neurologic outcome and in non-survivors. However, perfusion needs to be considered with respect to whether or not a vasopressor was needed. Cocchi et al. [25] demonstrated that lactate levels, together with the need for a vasopressor, was an accurate predictor of mortality in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest survivors. Unfortunately, information regarding the need for vasopressors was not available in our data set. Future studies should be performed taking into consideration the requirement for a vasopressor.
Nevertheless, the serum lactate levels at all time points in the present study were similar to those reported in the study by Lee et al. [11] although, in contrast, lactate clearance was not associated with neurologic outcome or in-hospital mortality at any time point in the present study. This difference can be attributed to differences in the baseline characteristics. The cohort in the study by Lee et al. [11] was younger and showed a higher rate of shockable rhythm. The cohort in the study by Donnino et al. [12] showed a higher rate of shockable rhythm and a shorter downtime. Age, shockable rhythm, and downtime were independent prognostic indicators in the present study. These differences in baseline characteristics may explain the lack of an association between lactate clearance and clinical outcomes in the present study.
There are several limitations of the present study. First, although measurement of serum lactate levels formed part of the protocol, some lactate values were missing. Thirty (10.6%) of 312 patients were excluded because of missing data, and 35 patients were excluded because death occurred during TTM. This may have led to selection bias. However, in most cases, death during TTM occurred before achieving the target temperature, due to a circulatory shock. It was decided to exclude patients who died during TTM, as death during TTM did not allow completion of TTM and circulatory shock resulted in extremely high serum lactate levels, which might have affected the results. Second, data were collected prospectively, but this was a retrospective cohort study performed at a single center using secondary data from electronic medical records, which could also have led to selection bias. Third, vasoactive agents can influence lactate production, but data concerning the use of vasoactive agents during post-resuscitation care were not available. Calculating the cumulative dose of vasoactive agents or dose at the time serum lactate levels are obtained is challenging. Future studies are required to consider the need for vasoactive agents. Fourth, despite our efforts, there may have been potential confounding factors that affected hemodynamics and lactate levels. Fifth, we excluded patients who died during TTM. Non-survivors died mainly as a result of post-cardiac arrest shock within 3 days after ROSC and had higher serum lactate levels [26]. The finding of no difference in initial serum lactate levels in the present study might have been influenced by the exclusion of patients who died during TTM.
In conclusion, lactate clearance was not a robust surrogate marker of neurologic outcome or in-hospital mortality at any time point. However, lactate levels at 12, 24, and 48 hours after admission were associated with neurologic outcome at discharge in cardiac arrest survivors treated with TTM. The lactate level at 48 hours after admission was associated with survival to discharge.
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Table 1.Values are presented as median (interquartile range) or number (%). CAD, coronary artery disease; CVA, cerebrovascular accident; VF, ventricular fibrillation; VT, ventricular tachycardia; PEA, pulseless electrical activity; CPR, cardiopulmonary resuscitation; GCS, Glasgow Coma Scale; SOFA, sequential organ failure assessment. Table 2.Table 3.
Serum lactate levels at the different time points were separated into different multivariate models. Model 1 included initial lactate level, model 2 included lactate level at 12 hours after admission, model 3 included lactate level at 24 hours, and model 4 included lactate level at 48 hours. OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval; NA, not available. Table 4.
Serum lactate levels at the different time points were separated into different multivariate models. Model 1 included initial lactate level, model 2 included lactate level at 12 hours after admission, model 3 included lactate level at 24 hours, and model 4 included lactate level at 48 hours. OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval; SOFA, sequential organ failure assessment; NA, not available. |
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