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Original Article
Critical Care

Machine Learning-Based Clusters of Vital Signs and Lactate Levels Predict Vasopressor Use in Sepsis

Daun Jeong1,2, Minyoung Choi3, Seung Jin Maeng3, Hanbeom Yoon3, Jong Eun Park3, Gun Tak Lee3, Sung Yeon Hwang3, Tae Gun Shin3, Sung Phil Chung4, Tae Ho Lim5, on behalf of the Korean Shock Society
Available online: January 14, 2026
1Division of Critical Care Medicine, Department of Emergency Medicine, Chung-Ang University Gwangmyeong Hospital, Gwangmyeong-si, Gyeonggi-do, Republic of Korea
2Department of Emergency Medicine, Chung-Ang University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
3Department of Emergency Medicine, Samsung Medical Centre, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
4Department of Emergency Medicine, Gangnam Severance Hospital, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
5Department of Emergency Medicine, College of Medicine, Hanyang University, Seoul, Korea
Corresponding author:  Tae Gun Shin, Tel: +82-2-3410-2053, Fax: +82-2-3410-0012, 
Email: drshin88@gmail.com
Received: 15 October 2025   • Revised: 2 December 2025   • Accepted: 29 December 2025
Daun Jeong, Minyoung Choi and Seung Jin Maeng contributed equally to this study as co-first authors.
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Objective
Sepsis remains a major clinical challenge because of its complex, heterogeneous, and multidimensional clustering patterns. This study aimed to investigate the association between vasopressor administration and machine learning–derived clusters based on initial vital signs and lactate measurements obtained in emergency department (ED) and intensive care unit (ICU) settings.
Methods
A retrospective cohort analysis was performed using data from the Korean Shock Society Septic Shock (KOSS) Registry (septic shock in the ED) and the Marketplace for Medical Information in Intensive Care (MIMIC)-IV database (ICU patients with suspected infection). To derive clusters, k-means clustering was applied to six initial vital signs and serum lactate measurements. The primary outcome was vasopressor administration. Secondary outcomes included second vasopressor administration and 28-day mortality.
Results
A total of 17,500 patients were included in the analysis (KOSS cohort, n=7,130; MIMIC-IV cohort, n=10,370). K-means clustering identified three distinct clusters in each cohort. In the KOSS cohort, Cluster 3 was characterized by the lowest mean arterial pressure (MAP) (62 mmHg [IQR, 53–71]) and the highest diastolic shock index (DSI) (2.6 [2.3–3.0]). This cluster was associated with the highest rates of vasopressor administration (93.9%), second vasopressor administration (33.5%), and 28-day mortality (25.3%) (all p<0.001). Comparable physiological and clinical patterns were observed in the MIMIC-IV cohort, in which Cluster 3 likewise demonstrated the lowest MAP (68 mmHg [60–76]) and highest DSI (2.0 [1.8–2.3]). This group similarly exhibited the poorest outcomes, including vasopressor administration (41.0%), second vasopressor administration (16.7%), and 28-day mortality (29.0%).
Conclusion
Machine learning–derived clusters based on initial vital signs and serum lactate levels demonstrated different patterns of vasopressor use and mortality. The clinical utility of this approach for guiding timely or targeted vasopressor therapy requires prospective validation.

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Machine Learning-Based Clusters of Vital Signs and Lactate Levels Predict Vasopressor Use in Sepsis
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Machine Learning-Based Clusters of Vital Signs and Lactate Levels Predict Vasopressor Use in Sepsis
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